It Ain’t Over

Sen. Elizabeth Warren has provided a little pep talk to women and progressives who are disheartened, dismayed, enraged, and stunned by today’s public head-counting ahead of Brett Kavanaugh’s scheduled confirmation vote on Saturday.  She concedes defeat, and her tone seems meant to console the weary and prepare them for some as yet unidentified new battle.

The vote tomorrow may very well be a done deal. There’s an ultra-slim chance that a couple of Republican Senators will have a crisis of conscience tonight but, given Republican’s history of late, conscience is not a guiding force. 

But the allegations of sexual assault against Kavanaugh aren’t just going to magically dry up and blow away. In fact, it sounds like more and more witnesses with corroborating testimony are coming forward and will likely talk to the press, shedding more even more light in the public arena.  There may even be lawsuits against Kavanaugh himself.

The long list of potential perjury charges against him aren’t magically going to disappear, either.  Nor are the millions of Americans who have been disgusted by Republicans’ refusal to conduct a true and fair investigation of Kavanaugh’s background and his potential misdeeds.  Those 2,400+ law professors and the American Bar Association are also not all going to quietly slink into the background, never to be heard from again.

No matter which way Saturday’s vote turns out, the collective struggle to get to the truth is far from over.  It may take massive turnout at the polls.  It may take impeachment proceedings against him or legal action or public outcry, or all of the above.  It will be long and it is virtually guaranteed to be ugly.  But it will be worth the fight.



Sugar Frosted Flake

Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) has been getting praise heaped upon him for “doing the moral thing,” for “taking a step back,” for “acting on his conscience,” and for “working across the aisle” by figuring out a way to delay Brett Kavanaugh’s SCOTUS confirmation vote, pending further investigation by the FBI.  But you don’t have to scratch too deeply into Flake’s sugar-coated surface to become cynical about his tactics and his motives.

Flake’s heralded rebellious behavior arrives against a backdrop of his previous history of pontificating against Trump and his policies and positions, followed almost immediately by his consistently voting in favor of Trump’s policies and positions.  The stakes here, however, are far greater than whether or not Flake agrees with Trump on any single policy matter.

If Flake had truly wanted to act morally and ethically, he had a less flimsy option available: he could have voted no in committee in order to allow sufficient time for a thorough FBI investigation of all pending allegations.  He would have been able to use the power of one committee member’s vote to ensure the result would be aligned with his purported position of morality.

Instead, he used a different strategy:  vote affirmatively in committee to proceed to a floor vote, with a pledge to vote no when the nomination went to the full Senate.  He agreed to a delay of a single week instead of letting the investigation take the amount of time that would actually be necessary.  This cursory delay gives Flake and the Republicans cover to pretend they looked deeply enough into Kavanaugh’s questionable past.  Flake can go home to Arizona and continue his public hand-wringing without truly having done anything genuine to get to the truth of Kavanaugh’s potential crimes through a robust, unconstrained investigation.

We’ve already seen Trump put limitations around the FBI investigation, including excluding any accusations by the third accuser and preventing the FBI from interviewing those folks from Kavanaugh’s college years who have stated that they regularly witnessed him drinking to excess and exhibiting belligerent behavior.

If Kavanaugh is confirmed (as many Republicans have promised that he will be, despite not having a clue what the FBI might uncover), three of the nine SCOTUS justices – a full third of the court – will be under a lifetime dark cloud.  Clarence Thomas, despite his confirmation years ago, is under renewed scrutiny and criticism in the era of #MeToo; Neil Gorsuch’s seat rightfully belongs to Merrick Garland; and Brett Kavanaugh, who will perpetually be mistrusted as the result of Thursday’s riveting and credible testimony from Dr. Christine Blasey Ford, along with a whole host of unexamined or under-examined allegations from additional accusers and witnesses.

On a couple of occasions, I’ve listened to people support Flake by saying that he’s done more than any other Republican has done to try to make this debacle better.  That, sadly, is probably true.  But there is still a gigantic chasm between Flake’s actions and a truly moral and ethical solution.  Flake may have been able to give Republicans a pretense to hide behind and he may momentarily assuage his own sense of guilt.  But it does little to get to the actual truth of Kavanaugh’s history to determine whether he is morally suited for a lifetime appointment on the nation’s highest court.

Will Rove’s Behavior Finally Catch Up With Him?

Almost lost in all the hoopla about the most recent rerun of a rerun of a rerun (a/k/a the State of the Union address) was the juicy news coming from the first day of Scooter Libby’s trial. Libby is accused of perjury related to the leaking of Valerie Plame‘s identity as a covert CIA agent.

Libby’s lawyer, Theodore V. Wells, Jr., seemed completely ready to toss Karl Rove and unnamed White House officials to the wolves in an attempt to build a plausible defense for Libby. He’s basically accusing Karl of using Scooter as a scapegoat to protect himself and the Republican party. (There’s more detail in The New York Times or The Washington Post.)

It’s too early to tell if Wells’ assertions have enough to substantiate them. But one can only hope this is Karl’s comeuppance. Will this be Rove’s undoing? Or will this greased pig slip away one more time?